Small-Cap Performance Following Rapid Rises in 10-Yr Yield

September 24, 2026

Small-Cap Performance Following Rapid Rises in 10-Yr Yield

Good while it lasts. During the R2000’s history there have been nine previous instances when the 10-yr yield rose 100+bps over the past year to a new 2-year high in yields.  The 10-year just did this again on 9/14/26.  Small-caps usually rally while the 10-year is surging higher.  Generally, the R2000 has posted strong returns during such yield surges – Mar ’22 and Aug ’23 were the exceptions.  Small-caps also outperformed more than underperformed during the trailing year.